Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000112 0.000119 0.000126 0.000134 0.000142 0.000152 0.000163
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000101 0.000110 0.000120 0.000132 0.000146 0.000163 0.000183
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000094 0.000105 0.000117 0.000133 0.000152 0.000175 0.000205
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000090 0.000102 0.000117 0.000135 0.000159 0.000189 0.000231
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000084 0.000097 0.000112 0.000132 0.000159 0.000193 0.000245
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000091 0.000107 0.000127 0.000155 0.000194 0.000252
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000075 0.000087 0.000103 0.000124 0.000154 0.000195 0.000262
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000082 0.000097 0.000118 0.000148 0.000191 0.000261
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000081 0.000097 0.000119 0.000152 0.000200 0.000282
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000080 0.000097 0.000121 0.000157 0.000212 0.000311
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000079 0.000097 0.000123 0.000162 0.000223 0.000340
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000079 0.000098 0.000126 0.000169 0.000240 0.000382
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000077 0.000096 0.000125 0.000170 0.000246 0.000407
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000075 0.000094 0.000123 0.000170 0.000251 0.000430
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000074 0.000093 0.000123 0.000173 0.000263 0.000474
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000073 0.000093 0.000125 0.000179 0.000280 0.000537
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000071 0.000091 0.000123 0.000177 0.000282 0.000558
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000068 0.000087 0.000119 0.000172 0.000276 0.000558
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000066 0.000085 0.000116 0.000169 0.000275 0.000569
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000063 0.000081 0.000111 0.000162 0.000264 0.000549
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000062 0.000081 0.000111 0.000166 0.000276 0.000606
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000062 0.000081 0.000113 0.000171 0.000294 0.000693
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000062 0.000081 0.000114 0.000176 0.000310 0.000785